Carlos Beltran surgery, Mets FO messes up

As you have probably heard, Carlos Beltran had surgery on his right knee, and should be out for 12 weeks before he can start baseball related activity. That means he is probably back around June 1. But what is more worrying is the complete idiocity shown by the Mets front office, yet again. In a development that rivals the Adam Rubin fiasco in terms of stupidity, the team say they wanted Beltran to have a third opinion to have the surgery. Of course, they determined this while he was having surgery. Beltran originally wanted to have surgery during the season, but the Mets didn't want him to, which can only be described as a blunder. He ended up playing in 19 meaningless games last year, and will know miss 2 months of an actual meaningful season (as it looks right now), when he could've had surgery earlier.
Beltran's agent, Scott Boras said that Beltran's personal doctor, Dt Steadman talked with the Mets team doctor, Dr Altcheck, who agreed Beltran should have surgery after pain in his knee was not going away. According to Boras, Dr Steadman was told that Dr Altcheck would tell the Mets.
The major blunder by the Mets was to make this feud public. It shows the Mets to be incompetent, again, and also insensitive. It also shows that the medical staff issues of last year have not gone away. Interestingly enough, it was John Ricco, the assistant GM who handled the Press conference. This can be read as the Mets hoping that the bad PR situation did not get any worse with Omar Minaya handling the press conference; they can remember the Adam Rubin fiasco as well.
Hopefully, Beltran gets well soon. It now looks like Angel Pagan will be the center fielder for 2 months. But while Beltran's loss is huge, it will be overshadowed by the Mets PR blunder. Seriously, what is Jay Horowitz up to?

Carlos Beltran season projection

Again, using the xBABIP calculator, Carlos' xBABIP is an astounding .428, which is way above his career norm of .307, and above his Chone projected .295 BABIP. I am using Chone projections, by the way, because it has been proven that Chone projects better than any other projection.
Back to Beltran: I'm going to calculate 2 adjusted season lines for Beltran: One with his .428 xBABIP, and one with his .307 BABIP.
Beltran is predicted to have 118 Games, 454 AB's, 126 hits, 27 doubles, 2 triples, 21 HR's, 79 RBI's, and have a line of .278/.362/.485. The totals are low because it's based on previous years to find an average, and last year Beltran missed a lot of games. Adjusted to a .428 BABIP, his line becomes .335/.412/.559. His wOBA is .419, which leads to 40 wRAA. He has a projected 1 UZR, gets a 1.8 positional adjustment and gets 17 Replacement runs. This adds up to 59.8 Runs, which divided by 10 gives Carlos a 6 WAR season, which is amazing.
However if his BABIP is .307, he bats .286/.370/.496 with a .378 wOBA. This leads to a 21.5 wRAA, which changes his WAR to 4 WAR, which is good, but not 6 WAR great.
However, it is still extremely productive, and I think his line will be something like .300/.390/.520. Remember, 2011 is the end of his contract, and personally, if Beltran is healthy he should be resigned.

David Wright Awesome, Mike Pelfrey not so much

I guess Pelfrey entered the Citizens Bank Park marathon. After going 6 innings, giving up 8 runs on 3 homers, 10 hits and a walk, Pelfrey decided to go running. He had a 7.3% swinging strike percentage. So, despite the Mets scoring 4 runs in the first, he left with the Mets in a 8-4 hole.
It was 9-5 in the 8th, when Tatis doubled, and then David Wright decided to have some payback on Brett Myers, and homered. Daniel Murphy's single scored Beltran to make it 9-8. However in the eighth, Sean Green and Pedro Feliciano loaded the bases. No worry though, as Feliciano struck out Howard to end the inning. In the 9th Tatis singled with 2 outs, and then Wright hit another homer to make it 10-9. In the bottom of the 9th, K-Rod went 1,2,3 on the Phillies, striking out 2 to get his 31st save. This game does show what might've been; The Phillies are still going to win the division, but its nice to win this game. Mets elimination number is 4.
Stupid Decision of the Day: Using Takahashi against the lefties. He gave up 2 hits, a run and got his out on a fly out. He faced 3 lefties; this year lefties are batting .311/.407/.511. JERRY DO YOU READ THE STAT HANDOUTS THEY GIVE YOU? Elmer Dessens holds lefties to .188/.286/.354 line. And he wasn't used yesterday.
Random Thought of the Day: Beltran, Tatis, and Wright went a combined 10/15 with 3 homers, 8 rbi's, 8 runs, and 20 total bases. That's a .667/.667/1.333 line. For a 2.000 OPS. Pretty damn good.
Clutch Play of the Game: David Wright 2 run homer. +.723 WPA (72%!!!!)
Up Next for the Mets: Doubleheader, 1:05 PM and 8:05 PM
John Maine (5-4 4.52 ERA 4.95 FIP 5.88 tRA) pitches in the first game against
Kyle Kendrick (0-1 5.06 ERA 4.40 FIP 7.47 tRA).
Tim Redding (2-5 5.78 ERA 5.42 FIP 5.54 tRA) pitches in the second game against
Pedro Martinez (4-0 3.64 ERA 3.96 FIP 4.96 tRA)

Beltran back, Mets lose 4-2

The return of Carlos Beltran did not result in a dramatic homerun, though he came close in the 7th. Instead it resulted in a Mets loss. Tim Redding was his pretty usual self, going 5 innings, walking4 striking out 4, giving 4 runs on 2 homers. Only 2.9% of his pitches were swinging strikes, which is pretty damn awful. The bullpen (Elmer Dessens, Sean Green, Ken Takahasi, Pedro Feliciano and Brian Stokes) combined to go 4 scorless. The Mets scored on a Josh Thole sac fly (he went 0/3) for his first RBI, and a Luis Castillo infield single after Angel Pagan tripled. The Mets had the bases loaded in the 7th but Wright struck out, and Beltran flied out (just missed a grand slam), and the inning was over, and the Mets went quietly in the 8th and 9th.
Stupid Decision of the Game: Jerry wanting Pagan bunting in the 7th with 1st and 2nd, no one out. It's not the right call, Jerry, and Pagan let 2 strikes go by before flying out. Kudos to him for not bunting.
Random Thought of the Day: Well, this is the strongest lineup we have.
Clutch Play of the Game: Ross dp in second, +.108 WPA.
Up Next for the Mets: Mets vs Marlins, 7:10 PM
Pat Misch (1-1 3.25 ERA 4.58 FIP 5.68 tRA) looks for his second win. He faces
Ricky Nolasco (10-8 5.27 ERA 3.55 FIP 4.34 tRA)