More on Murphy

I was looking at Daniel Murphy's stats, and noticed how he has a BABIP 100 points lower than last year's (.386-.286). So, using this (password is tuftsbat if you use it), I attempted to find out where Murphy's babip should be. It is expected to be .298 for this year, so he really should have about 117 hits for a .274 batting average. This would also increase his OBP to .324. To determine his slugging is a little more difficult. To do his, I have to figure out the percentage of hits that are doubles and triples. 26% of his hits are doubles, and 2.7% of his hits are triples. (Because a home run is not ball in play on a playing field, there is no increase in homers). So, if I round, 2 of his extra 6 hits are doubles, and there are no extra triples. So 4 hits are singles, and 2 are doubles. This gives him approximately 181 total bases, which gives him a slugging percentage of .423.
Murphy also had a lucky year last year, where he had a BABIP of .386. His xBABIP was .340, so he should've had 34 hits. That would've meant his average was .260, with a OBP of .351. 22% of his hits were doubles, and 7.3% of his hits were triples. That means he would've had 8 doubles, 3 triples, 2 home runs and 21 singles. That is a slugging percentage of .412.
Daniel Murphy's actual stats:

Year	PA	AB	1b	2b	3b	HR	bb	k	hbp	tb
2008	151	131	27	9	3	2	18	28	1	62
2009	473	428	70	29	3	9	35	62	0	173

avg	obp	slg	ops	Ops+	wOBA
.313	.393	.473	.871	129	.373
.259	.311	.404	.716	87	.309

OPS + is a stat that is adjusted for park and league. 100 is average, above 100 is above average, below 100 is below average (129 is 29% better than average)

Daniel Murphy's xBABIP stats

Year	PA	AB	1b	2b	3b	HR	bb	k	hbp	tb
2008	151	131	21	8	3	2	18	28	1	54
2009	473	428	74	31	3	9	35	62	0	181

avg	obp	slg		ops	Ops+	wOBA
.260	.351	.412		.763	112	.345
.274	.324	.423		.747	108	.323

Note: OPS+ used ESPN Park factors for Shea Stdium (.946) and Citi Field (.941)

All in all Daniel Murphy would be a perfectly adequate bench player/utility guy, if he can play second base. A Mark DeRosa type.